Manifesto 2030: Automotive Growth for a Zero Emission Future

Tuesday 27 June, 2023

The UK automotive sector has today urged all political parties to adopt five pledges and supercharge its competitiveness as part of a dedicated industrial strategy – with a £106 billion prize up for grabs from now until the end of the next parliament. A commitment to transforming automotive production, giving confidence for all drivers to go electric and upskilling our workers, combined with making sure British vehicles can be sold globally, and driving down the cost of clean energy, would unleash the sector to lead the UK’s net zero revolution.

Launching “Manifesto 2030: Automotive growth for a zero emission future” at its annual International Summit in London, the Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders (SMMT) called on every party to recognise the strategic importance of the sector to the UK and create the conditions for a 10-fold rise in annual battery electric vehicle (BEV) production to more than 750,000 units per year by 2030. This would equate to a cumulative £106 billion worth of products at factory gate.¹

Such growth, however, is contingent on British plants attracting the next generation of electric models and scaling up an emerging EV supply chain, a process which puts the competitiveness of the sector into focus. As the sector consolidates its post-pandemic recovery, with sustained growth in new vehicle registrations, production output and manufacturing jobs – up 4% to a total of 208,000 jobs in the last year – it faces fierce global competition as other countries offer huge cash incentives and subsidies to attract green manufacturing.²

The threat of tariffs from tougher local content rules under the UK-EU trade deal, which come into force in just six months’ time, would further disadvantage the industry. If not addressed, it would make British-built electric vehicles uncompetitive in our biggest export market, while pushing up EV prices for British buyers just as the UK and EU try to accelerate their uptake.

Inflationary pressures also loom large, with more than 80% of companies responding to SMMT’s latest automotive business confidence barometer reporting rising input costs, which are limiting profitability and acting as a brake on investment, despite an increase in orders and output.³ Furthermore, competitive energy prices are critical to long-term domestic EV production, with more than nine-in-10 firms citing the importance of energy price mitigation measures as essential to further investment. The UK automotive sector faces electricity costs more than double those of EU rivals, with the added challenge of long lead times to secure essential new grid connections for renewable investments.

Other measures seen as important by industry include improved trade support, regulatory certainty and, above all, a healthy EV market – for which lower energy costs, mandated charging infrastructure targets, and financial incentives for buyers, were ranked as the biggest drivers.

Yet amid these challenges the fundamental strengths of the UK automotive sector remain – a diverse supply chain spread nationwide, a flexible, highly skilled and productive workforce, iconic brands, and world-renowned R&D capabilities with unrivalled collaboration between academia and industry. This has helped the UK auto manufacturing sector achieve annual turnover of £78 billion, add £16 billion to the UK economy and invest around £3 billion in R&D every year. Today the sector supports some 800,000 jobs in total, including manufacturing, retail and aftermarket.⁴ With the right conditions and backing, this workforce can drive wholesale industrial transformation with a decade of benefits for wider society.

Speaking today at the automotive industry’s annual Summit, Mike Hawes, SMMT Chief Executive, said,

The government has set the industry tough targets and we are committed to meeting them. But we are in the middle of the most fiercely competitive investment landscape of a generation and need a UK response, urgently, using every policy, every fiscal and regulatory lever, to make Britain the most attractive place to invest. The automotive industry rises to every challenge, so we set out today a challenge to all political parties: back us with the right conditions and we will turn our obligations into opportunities for our industry, for jobs, for the environment and for the UK.

MANIFESTO 2030: AUTOMOTIVE GROWTH FOR A ZERO EMISSION FUTURE

The UK automotive industry calls on all political parties to commit to the following five pledges and policy actions:

1. A Green Automotive Transformation Strategy for a stronger economy
   Publish a Green Automotive Transformation Strategy that supercharges UK Automotive to achieve net zero. A strategy which enables innovation, attracts investment and secures manufacturing of clean technologies in the UK to deliver economic growth and zero emission mobility.
2. Net zero mobility for everyone
   Foster a reliable and affordable UK-wide recharging and refuelling network through binding targets complemented by a motor tax and regulatory system that ensures no one is left behind in the transition to net zero.
3. Green skills for a greener future
   Offer the skills workers want, by creating a one-stop-shop national upskilling platform, and develop the future talent that business needs, combined with greater STEM education in schools and a dynamic immigration system that attracts global talent.
4. Made in Britain – Made for the world
   Position automotive and advanced manufacturing supply chains at the core of UK trade policy and market access. Secure access to global markets for tariff-free export of British-made vehicles, batteries and green technologies, and deliver export support services that allow businesses of all sizes to succeed.
5. Powering the UK clean tech revolution
   Ensure net zero-critical industries such as automotive are able to access affordable and internationally cost-competitive zero emission energy to power the clean tech revolution. Dedicated energy and investment measures should be available to make zero emission vehicle production and use a reality.

Notes to editors

1 Value based on analysis of new AutoAnalysis outlook ‘optimistic scenario’ for UK production by powertrain and estimates of battery electric vehicle factory gate prices.
2 Based on analysis of ONS, Nomis and SMMT data.
3 SMMT member survey May 2023
4 Auto sector value based on analysis of ONS data – automotive manufacturing (SIC29) plus extended supply chain based on auto purchasing from other manufacturing sectors